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Bond markets across a number of developed countries including the US, UK and Germany are currently pricing in a recession. Global stock indices are close to, if not at, all-time highs. What exactly are the capital markets trying to tell us about the state of the economy? Stock prices are a well-known leading indicator of […]
The recording is now available. Synopsis The Australian ETF sector continues to grow strongly with over 20 new ETFs launched this year alone and the sector closing in on $150 billion in funds under management. Whether your clients are seeking enhanced income, an inflation hedge, increased diversification or exposure to a particular investment theme, there […]
After a decade of record-low bond yields, fixed income has been making a comeback this year. In Australia, when advisers and investors think of fixed income, they mostly think of term deposits and government bonds, but corporate bonds also make up a significant portion of the global bond market. The global bond market is massive […]
Global equities have rallied over the last 6 months, with the MSCI AC World ex Australia TR Index AUD returning 7.5% since the start of the year. The recovery in global risk assets has however, been quite narrow and heavily concentrated in a small number of US mega stocks. In fact, if we zoom in on […]
Inflation is likely to ease substantially in the coming months as base effects roll off and tighter credit conditions hit consumption and aggregate demand. Services inflation, rent rises and wage pressures however persist, meaning inflation could remain sticky and above central bank target ranges for some time. Financial conditions are therefore likely to remain tight […]
Markets are in a period of transition and with transition comes uncertainty and volatility. We have seen a rapid shift from record-low interest rates and abundant liquidity to an environment of higher interest rates, central banks shrinking their bloated balance sheets and banks in general tightening their lending practises. These tighter liquidity conditions will continue […]
It has been a stronger quarter for sustainable investors as many of the headwinds facing the sector throughout 2022, eased substantially. The dispersion between energy and information technology has narrowed considerably, with investors turning to quality and defensiveness as economic growth looks set to slow across the remainder of the year. Against that backdrop, the […]
The Multi-Asset portfolios outperformed their peer group benchmarks over the 12-month period to March 2023. The Multi-Asset portfolios have provided good protection from the volatility experienced in equity and bond markets over the last 12 months, while broadly keeping pace with markets as sentiment recovered over the first quarter of 2023. Key to that outperformance […]
The first quarter of the year brought a new source of volatility to financial markets in the failure of two US regional banks, with serious doubts remaining over several others. Soon afterwards, the Swiss government arranged for the ailing Credit Suisse to be taken over by rival UBS at a fraction of its trading price […]
An eerie calm has fallen over markets in recent weeks, as the banking stresses of early March fade into the background. Market measures of risk, such as the VIX, have retreated, while global equity markets have rebounded strongly, buoyed by a resurgence in technology stocks. We remain somewhat cautious. We have seen a rapid shift […]
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